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Home » Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: Week 18 Odds & Lines

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: Week 18 Odds & Lines

08 January 2023, Sunday
The Titans and Jaguars will clash on Saturday night in a showdown with huge implications for the AFC South. The winner will be crowned the division champions and secure a postseason berth, while the loser will be left to ponder what could've been. Jacksonville currently holds the advantage in the division due to their earlier victory against the Titans. The stakes are high and both teams will be looking to make a statement in this must-win matchup.

In early December, the Jaguars secured a 36-22 triumph over the then-division frontrunners, the Titans. As of Saturday, Jacksonville is the top team in the AFC South, a result of Tennessee's collapse after they had a two-game lead in the division when they were defeated by the Jaguars on December 11.

The Titans have had a rough run of form since November 27, having dropped six consecutive games and showing no signs of changing that trend heading into Saturday. On the flip side, the Jaguars have been amongst the most successful teams in the NFL in recent weeks, having won six of their last eight outings. These impressive results have put Trevor Lawrence's side in a fantastic position to experience postseason football for the first time since 2017.

The Titans are facing off against the Jaguars on Saturday, and it is clear that the home team has been given the advantage. Jacksonville is the favored team, with a spread of 6.5 points. This is due to the Titans' issues with their passing game, as Ryan Tannehill sustained a season-ending ankle injury in January.

The offense wasn't overly productive with Ryan Tannehill under center, but it took a nosedive with Malik Willis at the helm. This prompted Mike Vrabel to bring in Joshua Dobbs, who made his first start last week. He completed 20 of 39 passes for 232 yards, throwing one touchdown and one interception. It will be difficult for Dobbs to match the level of play put forth by Clemson's Trevor Lawrence.

The Jaguars are the more sensible bet in this matchup at -6.5. They have been successful against the spread in their last six games, going 5-1. On the other hand, the Titans have had struggles against the spread recently, putting up a 0-5-1 record. Betting the spread with the Jaguars gives a better return than the moneyline due to the high juice.

For a gambler to receive $100 if Jacksonville is the victorious side, they must be willing to stake $265. This is a rather high risk-reward ratio, so betting on the home team if you think they will win is recommended. Alternatively, a $100 wager on the away team, Tennessee, could result in winnings of up to $225.

The total for this matchup has been set at 40 points, which is a relatively low figure in the NFL. Jacksonville is likely to score, but Tennessee may struggle in trying to do so; they have gone under in 10 of their last 13 games. Meanwhile, the Jaguars have been performing well recently, but it takes both teams to make up the difference to reach the Over.

Jacksonville has been stout in their red zone defense as of late, which could make it difficult for Tennessee to muster up much scoring success. Despite this, the safest bet in this matchup is likely to go with the Jaguars with the spread, given their impressive play in the closing months of the season.

Even though the Titans may not be favored to win on Saturday, there are still some valuable Tennessee player prop bets to consider. DraftKings Sportsbook has one that has particularly caught our eye--Joshua Dobbs to throw for more than 187.5 passing yards.

The Jaguars have been vulnerable to giving up big plays this year. Despite their strong Red Zone defense, they have difficulties in the middle of the field. As they gear up to face Tennessee, they must be prepared for an aerial assault from Lawrence, who is known to be a proficient passer. In his first foray in the NFL, Dobbs exceeded his passing total, and he may very well do the same in this Saturday's match.

The prospect of our same-game parlay is promising, with odds at +300. This parlay starts off with the Jaguars covering an alternate spread of -2.5 as opposed to the original line. To give ourselves an added measure of security, we dropped the original spread by four points. So, even if the Jaguars win by three, the wager will still prove successful.

With the Titans exhibiting an inclination towards the under, the Jaguars contrastingly seem to be trending up. Their offense has been performing excellently, thus indicating the possibility of several points being scored in the game. Though it is unlikely that the match will reach 40 points, the possibility of five touchdowns is quite likely. Furthermore, the average points each team allows per game is over 20, making the alternate total a sensible option.

For the game to exceed 34.5 points, both Lawrence and Dobbs will need to put in stellar performances. We've included Dobbs over 187.5 passing yards in the parlay, but if he falls short of this total, then the Titans won't be competitive. We are expecting Lawrence to easily surpass 254.5 passing yards, as the Titans have the worst passing defense in the league, allowing nearly 280 yards per game. Lawrence has gone over his total in only two of his last four games.

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